About The Novice Tipster And What I Provide







Welcome

Thank you for looking at my blogs

I would like to let you know a little about why and what I do here.

I started The Novice Tipster in January 2012. I have loved horse racing ever since I was small. As a child I used to look in the papers every morning and write down what horse I fancied in every race for that day. When I came home I would bring up Teletext (yes it was that long ago) and mark my results down. Every time I finished a book, I would go through every single page, write down how many winners/losers I had. My average was 20%-33%. I used to compare my stats with Templegate and I knew I was doing ok.

When I started my blog https://thenovicetipster.blogspot.co.uk I would put my selections down and compare them to Timeform and Templegate. The results spoke for themselves, I was smack bang in the middle.

As I gained more followers the way I did things changed to what I have today. I have listed everything below, and tried to explain it as well as possible.

The FREE STUFF

Systems
My Systems must be the main thing I do, mainly on request from followers who cannot decide on a horse in a certain race.
I go through many stats, from going, distance, class, and even if they have raced each other before. I give them a score for the best ratings. Then once I have finished I add it all together and hope that I find the winner. I do need to advise that these systems are not my own opinion, they are based on stats only. These should be used as a guide. Most requests, the person will have an idea of who they like and would like to find out how they score.
Here is an idea of how my system layout looks


Stalls/Ratings/Going/Speed
This is another popular request. I will look at a race meeting and give the the best rated horse in 4 areas in every race on that card. Stall/Rating/Going and Speed. Obviously, there are sometimes no qualifiers. At the end I will put the horse with the best overall stats. Once again, these are based on stats and designed to give guidance only.


Main Tips/Multi Bets
These will be any horses which really stand out for me. Or I will give horse i think will go well in a multi bet.

Interesting Horses/Stats.
Sometimes some interesting stats or facts come up. I will share this with what the interesting horse/stats is

Speed Analysis
I look at the speed results of all the runners. and look for the best speeds set within the last 5 races. The one with the best overall is the selection. It does not take into account anything else!, it's just a guide to help you with your selection. I put a * next to those with standout recent speed



PAID EMAIL SERVICE ONLY £2.50
I now offer a paid Email Service.
I came to a cross roads, in my private life i needed to work and earn money. The dilemma was that i loved working on TNT, but i spent on average 8 hours a day working on the site. Some days during the Cheltenham Festival for example; i could spend 17 hours working on the site. So if i got a job, there would be no time for TNT. I didn't want to lose this. So i decided to select certain things i do and put them in a email service for a small fee of just £2.50 a week. Which works out at 35p a day. This means i can continue keeping TNT going and i enjoy what i do.

EMAIL SERVICE HOW TO SIGN UP - CLICK HERE

In my service i provide the following:

Typical Email 



Standout Horses
This comes with a P& L on request. We are currently in profit. Its a select horse/s each day who stand out for one reason or another. They are not my personal views, but they do need to standout.

Tracker Horses
These will be posted if any come up. Tracker horses will be either my own opinion on how a horse has run which caught my eye. Or it could be some information I have on a horse. Hopefully these horses will go well and I only put horses in a think or hear should win

In Form Trainers and Jockeys
I provide a list each day of those trainers and jockeys who are perfoming well in the last 14 days. Has helped provide several multi bets

Permanent Systems
I have about 70 permanent systems, that look into many things, from favourites winning certain races, to trainers winning at certain tracks. Or a horse liking certain conditions. I do a popular post called Profitable Systems, where I only post up horses who qualify in systems that make a good profit. I have a P&L for this on request. 

Stalls Analysis
During the flat season i will look to see if there are any stall advantages, and if there is i will add them with explanation 

Interesting Stats 
This seems to be a big hit, and popular with members. This has a P&L which goes along with it as it's in profit and it does on the whole very well.

Sires On Going at The Track 
Another new additon which is seeiming to be popular, providing bigger priced winners, based on sires who have a good strike rate on the going at the particular track.

Straight From The Trainers Mouth
I search the web to find trainer or jockey comments on their ride/runners for that day. Each comment will be given a star rating. I will also add a best win bet and best ew bet to the top. This is one example. This horse was put in the best EW bet of the day

4.00 Nottingham Envoy 16/1

Runs in a mile maiden and does not have the most favourable of draws in stall 10 of 10. He has been working well with recent Newmarket winner Music Seeker but he is likely to need further in time. He ran well at the same course last autumn over the same trip so is not without a chance tomorrow.
★★★☆☆
 Envoy WON at 9/1

5 Stars = Big Chance
4 Stars = Expected To Go Close
3 Stars =  Has A Good EW Chance
2 Stars = Might Make The Frame, More Likely To Be Just Outside Places
1 Stars = Very Unlikely To Make The Frame
0 Stars = No Chance (only one horse was given this, that horse ran in the 2017 National, and fell at the first)

.***NONE OF THESE ARE MY VIEWS, THEY ARE FROM PUBLIC WEBSITES, I JUST GATHER THEM AND PUT THEM IN ONE PLACE WITH A STAR RATING***, they are accessible to anyone to look up


I do hope this explains a little more about what I do.

Please feel free to follow me on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/TheNoviceTipster/

Or on Twitter @TheNovicetipste 

Thank you to everyone for their support

Comments

  1. hello, I just started following you do 4 days and really like the simple way you explain your bets.
    Yes I agree when you say that the biggest factor his luck.
    I make bets on horses since 2003, my first bet I did was live in Hong Kong (Happy Valey) when I was there on business. I had never seen the horse races, because I'm from Portugal-Lisbon here we do not have horse racing, but I've had many jobs in the uk where I see the races live when my work allowed me that.
    Now you have one more follower and hope to exchange ideas with you.
    Health and much happiness to you and your family.
    Best regards
    Ricardo Martins

    ReplyDelete
  2. The Novice Tipster14 April 2013 at 20:06

    Hi Ricardo

    Thanks for your message. I am glad you like my way of tipping. I do try and make it as simple and as easy to understand as i can. The amount of work that goes into one tip is a lot. There are so many little things and details you need to look at, and in the end it's up to the horse.

    By all means exchange ideas etc. You will be better to contact me on Facebook, as i do not always see these messages on the blog

    TNT

    ReplyDelete
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